1

Boston Common

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Roscommon · Curragh To Curragh Charity Cycle On Saturday, August 29th Maiden Hurdle · 2m 4f 46y

#14

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Timeform

Commentary

Runner-up on last of 4 starts in points back in March 2025, but offered little on Rules debut when tailed off in bumper at Wexford last month. Now switches to hurdles.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move8
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Wexford 03/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 2m195y Gd 1683/07C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-03Wexford?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 19
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength5%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/07/202610th80/10%10%+0.10