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17

Carrigane

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Roscommon · Curragh To Curragh Charity Cycle On Saturday, August 29th Maiden Hurdle · 2m 4f 46y

#13

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Maiden pointer but exceeded expectations on Rules debut when fourth of 12 in maiden chase at Kilbeggan (2½m) in June, albeit flattered by proximity as he closed up late. Now switches to hurdles. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼8
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Kilbeggan 15/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 2m4f Goo 16615/06C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-15Kilbeggan?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 19
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength36%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/06/20264th80/10%73%+0.73