5

Installment

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Roscommon · Curragh To Curragh Charity Cycle On Saturday, August 29th Maiden Hurdle · 2m 4f 46y

#17

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#17

★★ Timeform

Commentary

After 11 months off, showed his first form when staying on for fourth in 13-runner maiden at Tramore (2¾m) in May. However, failed to repeat that effort when pulled up at Kilbeggan (3m) 11 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Clonmel 17/04/2025 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR - · 2m3f195y Goo 16817/04C?C0 @ Tipperary 14/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 2m190y Goo 16114/05C?C8 @ Sligo 13/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 2m1f90y Gd 16613/07C8C8 @ Tramore 30/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 2m5f175y Goo 16630/05C8projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Kilbeggan?0
2026-05-30Tramore?4th4th0
2025-07-13Sligo?7th7th0
2025-05-14Tipperary?6th6th0
2025-04-17Clonmel?15th15th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0414/0513/0730/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 19
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/04/202515th11/142%0%-0.42
14/05/20256th50/10%29%+0.29
13/07/20257th14/126%33%+0.07
30/05/20264th100/10%75%+0.75