13

Maple Mornin

6yo Mare · 11-5

Roscommon · Curragh To Curragh Charity Cycle On Saturday, August 29th Maiden Hurdle · 2m 4f 46y

#12

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Timeform

Commentary

Went with little encouragement first time up when tailed-off ninth of 11 in bumper at Sligo (2¼m) 23 days ago. Looks to face a tough task making hurdling debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move8
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Sligo 12/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 2m2f59y Gd 16512/07C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12Sligo?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 19
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength10%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/07/20269th66/10%20%+0.20