6

Minella Moon Shine

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Roscommon · Curragh To Curragh Charity Cycle On Saturday, August 29th Maiden Hurdle · 2m 4f 46y

#4

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Absent over 2 years since falling in a point, but went close on hurdling debut when second of 14 in maiden at this course (2m) last month. Open to improvement as he goes up in distance.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Roscommon 06/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m7f204y Gd 1586/07C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-06Roscommon?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 19
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength87%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/07/20262nd10/382%92%+0.10