IvyArcIvyArc
8

Ruled By The Sun

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Roscommon · Curragh To Curragh Charity Cycle On Saturday, August 29th Maiden Hurdle · 2m 4f 46y

#9

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★ Timeform

Commentary

Hinted at ability on second of 2 starts in bumpers, but failed to build on that when pulled up in maiden at Kilbeggan (3m) on hurdles bow 11 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Limerick 16/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 2m3f60y Sft 16816/04C?C0 @ Downpatrick 13/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 2m2f185y Gd 16813/06C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Kilbeggan?0
2026-06-13Downpatrick?7th7th0
2026-04-16Limerick?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0413/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 19
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/04/20267th33/10%25%+0.25
13/06/20267th14/126%14%-0.12