10

Who's Going

4yo Gelding · 11-8

Roscommon · Curragh To Curragh Charity Cycle On Saturday, August 29th Maiden Hurdle · 2m 4f 46y

#19

Rank

Odds

250/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#19

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Little impact in a trio of maiden hurdles so far, well-beaten twelfth in 25-runner event at Fairyhouse (2½m) when last seen in April. Looks one for further down the line.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 11.3 /10 (raw 11.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Punchestown 15/02/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 2m3f104y Hvy 15415/02C8C8 @ Gowran Park 07/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR - · 2m50y Hvy 1567/03C8C8 @ Fairyhouse 04/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 25 · OR - · 2m4f Yie 1584/04C8projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-04Fairyhouse?12th12th0
2026-03-07Gowran Park?8th8th0
2026-02-15Punchestown?14th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/027/034/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 19
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength87%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/02/202614th40/10%7%+0.07
07/03/20268th100/10%59%+0.59
04/04/202612th250/10%54%+0.54