Xquise
6yo Mare · 11-5
Roscommon · Curragh To Curragh Charity Cycle On Saturday, August 29th Maiden Hurdle · 2m 4f 46y
#18
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#18
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 6 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.1 /10 (raw 9.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-18 | Dundalk | BHA47 | 13th | 9th | +3 |
| 2024-07-24 | Naas | BHA48 | 10th | 6th | +3 |
| 2024-06-07 | Fairyhouse | BHA52 | 10th | 7th | +3 |
| 2024-05-18 | Navan | BHA54 | 10th | 7th | +3 |
| 2024-04-29 | Naas | BHA57 | 14th | 11th | +2 |
| 2024-04-07 | Leopardstown | BHA60 | 17th | 15th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 17th of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/12/2022 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 15/04/2023 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 10/06/2023 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 07/04/2024 | 17th | 100/1 | 0% | 16% | +0.16 |
| 29/04/2024 | 14th | 125/1 | 0% | 28% | +0.28 |
| 18/05/2024 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 07/06/2024 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 24/07/2024 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 18/12/2024 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |