7
Chantilly Wings
5yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 104
Roscommon · James Lohan Engineering Excellence Maiden Hurdle · 1m 7f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength18%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Kilbeggan | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-05 | Kilbeggan | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Perth | 4 | 4th | -1th | +4 |
| 2025-08-05 | Roscommon | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-25 | Kilbeggan | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-03 | Tipperary | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 19
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength77%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 03/07/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 73% | +0.31 |
| 25/07/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 05/08/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 16/08/2025 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |
| 05/09/2025 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |