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5

Haughty

6yo Mare · 11-5

Roscommon · James Lohan Engineering Excellence Maiden Hurdle · 1m 7f 110y

#10

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★ Timeform

Commentary

One-time fair performer on the Flat for Alan King. However, pulled up both starts over hurdles in 2024/25 for Mrs Lorna Fowler, before losing her way back on the level. Has fared little better in 3 starts for current yard this year ahead of return to hurdling.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼3
Strength98%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 6 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: +3.2
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA61 @ Leopardstown 19/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 61 · 1m Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/06/2025 · OR 61 par19/0661OR 61BHA62 @ Leopardstown 10/07/2025 · Pos 15th of 17 · OR 62 · 1m GF 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/07/2025 · OR 62 parBHA59 @ Bellewstown 26/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 59 · 7f195y Goo 141 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/08/2025 · OR 59 par26/0859OR 59BHA54 @ Punchestown 16/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 54 · 1m1f58y Goo 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/09/2025 · OR 54 parBHA51 @ Dundalk 17/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 51 · 7f Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/10/2025 · OR 51 par17/1051OR 51BHA48 @ Dundalk 29/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 48 · 7f Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/10/2025 · OR 48 parBHA45 @ Sligo 03/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 45 · 1m5f190y Sft 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 45 par3/0545OR 45BHA44 @ Navan 11/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 44 · 1m2f40y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 44 parBHA43 @ Gowran Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 43 · 1m1f110y Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 43 par25/0743OR 43projClass-projected finish: 10th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Gowran ParkBHA4312th8th+4
2026-07-11NavanBHA448th4th+4
2026-05-03SligoBHA4513th9th+4
2025-10-29DundalkBHA488th4th+3
2025-10-17DundalkBHA516th3rd+3
2025-09-16PunchestownBHA549th6th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0616/093/0525/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 19
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength12%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/06/20256th50/10%64%+0.64
10/07/202515th66/10%13%+0.13
26/08/202510th25/10%36%+0.36
16/09/20259th22/10%33%+0.33
17/10/20256th33/10%50%+0.50
29/10/20258th16/116%42%+0.26
03/05/202613th50/10%8%+0.08
11/07/20268th66/10%36%+0.36
25/07/202612th33/10%8%+0.08