9

Le Roi Arthur

5yo Gelding · 11-4

Roscommon · James Lohan Engineering Excellence Maiden Hurdle · 1m 7f 110y

#13

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made the frame on second of 2 starts in points and some encouragement when third of 13 in maiden hurdle at Sligo last summer. However, down the field in bumper at Navan in September and has been absent since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Sligo 13/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 2m1f90y Gd 15313/07C8C0 @ Navan 20/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m7f165y Yie 16420/09C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-09-20Navan?9th9th0
2025-07-13Sligo?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0720/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 19
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength10%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/07/20253rd20/10%83%+0.83
20/09/20259th20/10%47%+0.47