2
Minella Hollow
6yo Gelding · 11-12
Roscommon · James Lohan Engineering Excellence Maiden Hurdle · 1m 7f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength18%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: +2.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-19 | Limerick | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Navan | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-11-17 | Cheltenham | 1 | 4th | -5th | +7 |
| 2024-06-10 | Roscommon | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-05-28 | Ballinrobe | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 19
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength57%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/2024 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 10/06/2024 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 17/11/2024 | 4th | 10/11 | 95% | 40% | -0.55 |
| 20/09/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 19/10/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 78% | -0.01 |