10

Saviour Blu

7yo Gelding · 11-4

Roscommon · James Lohan Engineering Excellence Maiden Hurdle · 1m 7f 110y

#19

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#19

Timeform

Commentary

Well held on completed start in maiden hurdles at Roscommon and tailed off switched to a bumper at Ballinrobe 2 weeks ago. Hood now reached for.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 11.5 /10 (raw 11.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Roscommon 05/08/2025 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 1m7f110y Goo 1585/08C8C0 @ Ballinrobe 21/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m7f119y Gd 16821/07C?projClass-projected finish: 14th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-21Ballinrobe?10th10th0
2026-07-06Roscommon?0
2025-08-05Roscommon?13th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0821/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 19
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength36%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/08/202513th200/10%14%+0.14
21/07/202610th66/10%25%+0.25