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11

Whoyougonnacall

5yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 104

Roscommon · James Lohan Engineering Excellence Maiden Hurdle · 1m 7f 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Tailed off in a bumper but was in the process of showing much more when falling 2 out in maiden at Clonmel on hurdling bow, looking set to finish in the frame. Soon left behind a lesser effort when third of 15 in maiden at Ballinrobe 2 weeks ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Ballinrobe 12/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 2m24y Sft 15712/09C?C8 @ Roscommon 06/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 1m7f204y Gd 156 · HIGHER CLASS6/07C8C8 @ Ballinrobe 21/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 2m1f89y Gd 15821/07C8projClass-projected finish: 11th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-21Ballinrobe?3rd3rd0
2026-07-06Roscommon?4th3rd+1
2026-06-05Clonmel?0
2025-09-12Ballinrobe?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/096/0721/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 19
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/09/20258th18/15%0%-0.05
06/07/20264th50/10%40%+0.40
21/07/20263rd7/163%86%+0.23