1
Born Bright
7yo Mare · 11-12 · OR 110
Roscommon · DNG Ivan Connaughton Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 210y
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | Roscommon | BHA115 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Wexford | BHA110 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Killarney | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-19 | Market Rasen | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-01 | Tipperary | BHA102 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-09 | Roscommon | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 18
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength85%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 58% | +0.00 |
| 22/04/2025 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 16/05/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 09/06/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 77% | +0.30 |
| 01/07/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 19/07/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 23/08/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 08/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 79% | +0.52 |