8
Getaway Charlie
10yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 102
Roscommon · DNG Ivan Connaughton Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 210y
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C10.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Roscommon | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Clonmel | BHA110 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Cork | BHA114 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Fairyhouse | BHA115 | 0 | ||
| 2025-04-20 | Cork | BHA117 | 0 | ||
| 2025-03-20 | Cork | BHA116 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 18
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength57%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2023 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 92% | +0.50 |
| 10/10/2023 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 23/11/2023 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 17/05/2024 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 70% | +0.07 |
| 31/12/2024 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 27% | +0.01 |
| 20/03/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 05/04/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 14/04/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |