14
Glitz And Glamour
5yo Mare · 11-2 · OR 100
Roscommon · DNG Ivan Connaughton Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 210y
#11
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Cork | BHA102 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Limerick | BHA104 | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-19 | Limerick | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Killarney | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Listowel | BHA107 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-08-20 | Sligo | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 18
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength3%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 22/07/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 58% | -0.10 |
| 20/08/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 21/09/2025 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 59% | -0.07 |
| 05/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 19/10/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |