3

Kalanisi Flash

9yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 108

Roscommon · DNG Ivan Connaughton Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 210y

#1

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

19%

Place Prob

23%

Rank

#1

Timeform

Commentary

Showed aptitude for chasing (dual winning pointer) returning from 16 months off at Downpatrick last August but pulled up all 3 subsequent starts, back hurdling the last twice. Tries blinkers now but is best watched.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Leopardstown 27/12/2022 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 2m4f Yie 16827/12C?C0 @ Downpatrick 19/05/2023 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 2m1f65y Goo 168C0 @ Kilbeggan 04/06/2023 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 2m Goo 1684/06C?C0 @ Downpatrick 13/08/2023 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 2m2f165y Goo 168C8 @ Downpatrick 28/08/2023 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 2m1f165y Goo 16628/08C8C8 @ Sligo 27/10/2023 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 2m4f Sft 158C8 @ Fairyhouse 24/11/2023 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 2m7f110y Sft 15824/11C8C8 @ Downpatrick 10/05/2024 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 2m5f180y Gd 166C0 @ Downpatrick 25/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 2m3f100y Gd 16625/08C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12SligoBHA1120
2026-04-29PunchestownBHA1140
2025-10-24Cheltenham30
2025-08-25Downpatrick?3rd3rd0
2024-05-10Downpatrick?1st1st0
2023-11-24Fairyhouse?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/1213/0824/1125/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 18
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 18.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/12/20224th18/15%67%+0.61
19/05/20232nd10/382%92%+0.09
04/06/20236th4/179%17%-0.62
13/08/20233rd10/382%71%-0.11
28/08/20232nd3/184%88%+0.03
27/10/20232nd10/382%92%+0.09
24/11/20234th11/142%50%+0.08
10/05/20241st13/266%100%+0.34
25/08/20253rd5/174%50%-0.24