7
Priory Park
10yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 103
Roscommon · DNG Ivan Connaughton Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 210y
#14
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C9.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Bellewstown | BHA104 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Thurles | BHA107 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-20 | Thurles | BHA104 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Cheltenham | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Listowel | BHA107 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Ballinrobe | BHA100 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 18
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 12th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2023 | 14th | 50/1 | 0% | 19% | +0.19 |
| 31/08/2024 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 12/05/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 22/05/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 12/09/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 24/09/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 14/11/2025 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 35% | -0.02 |
| 20/12/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 18/04/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |