4
Sound Judgement
6yo Mare · 11-7 · OR 105
Roscommon · DNG Ivan Connaughton Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 210y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
59%
Place Prob
40%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Cork | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Downpatrick | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Clonmel | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Navan | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Fairyhouse | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-31 | Punchestown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 18
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength84%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/12/2025 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 28/02/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 89% | +0.23 |
| 26/03/2026 | 6th | 15/8 | 90% | 55% | -0.36 |
| 14/06/2026 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 82% | -0.13 |
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |