5
Starzov
9yo Gelding · 11-6 · OR 104
Roscommon · DNG Ivan Connaughton Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 210y
#18
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#18
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C10.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-17 | Tramore | BHA97 | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-06 | Wexford | BHA100 | 0 | ||
| 2025-07-14 | Downpatrick | BHA104 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-05-30 | Tramore | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-05-16 | Kilbeggan | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-03-17 | Wexford | BHA114 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 18
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 18th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2023 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 15/04/2023 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 29/04/2023 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |
| 11/11/2023 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 70% | -0.06 |
| 03/02/2024 | 16th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 17/05/2024 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 10% | -0.43 |
| 17/03/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 16/05/2025 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 14/07/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |