17
Wild Mandate
7yo Mare · 10-13 · OR 97
Roscommon · DNG Ivan Connaughton Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 210y
#7
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Galway | BHA97 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-12 | Sligo | BHA91 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Downpatrick | BHA92 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Limerick | BHA94 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-08-20 | Sligo | BHA91 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-25 | Kilbeggan | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 18
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength48%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2024 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 15/11/2024 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 13/05/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |
| 10/06/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |
| 25/07/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 47% | +0.10 |
| 20/08/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 18/10/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 64% | +0.11 |
| 12/07/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |