2
Impero
7yo Gelding · 11-12
Roscommon · J.F. Hanley Groundscare Beginners Chase · 2m 142y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Wexford | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Kilbeggan | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Kelso | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Killarney | BHA136 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Galway | BHA76 | 17th | 17th | 0 |
| 2025-06-17 | Stratford | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 29/04/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.17 |
| 25/05/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 17/06/2025 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 33% | -0.58 |
| 02/08/2025 | 17th | 9/1 | 53% | 6% | -0.47 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 89% | +0.26 |
| 24/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 64% | -0.21 |
| 30/06/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |