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5

Piccolo Player

5yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 104

Roscommon · J.F. Hanley Groundscare Beginners Chase · 2m 142y

#4

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair form over hurdles, winning on his second start last season before placing twice in handicaps. Offered more than on chase debut when third of 7 in novice at Killarney last month but more needed to take a hand here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C9.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Limerick 29/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 110 · 2m Sft 147 · below its mark29/12/2025 · OR 110 par29/121OR 110BHA109 @ Thurles 18/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 109 · 1m7f168y Yie 149 · below its mark18/01/2026 · OR 109 parBHA109 @ Naas 22/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 109 · 1m7f110y Hvy 145 · below its mark22/02/2026 · OR 109 par22/02109OR 109BHA108 @ Gowran Park 07/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 108 · 2m50y Hvy 165 · below its mark07/03/2026 · OR 108 parC8 @ Limerick 16/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 106 · 2m50y Sft 157 · below its mark16/04/2026 · OR 106 par16/04C8OR 106BHA104 @ Kilbeggan 24/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 104 · 2m110y Goo 160 · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 104 parBHA105 @ Ballinrobe 26/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 105 · 2m13y Goo 161 · below its mark26/05/2026 · OR 105 par26/05105OR 105BHA105 @ Roscommon 08/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 105 · 2m100y Sft 162 · below its mark08/06/2026 · OR 105 parC8 @ Killarney 17/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 104 · 2m1f Goo 156 · below its mark17/07/2026 · OR 104 par17/07C8OR 104projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17Killarney?3rd3rd0
2026-06-08RoscommonBHA1056th6th0
2026-05-26BallinrobeBHA1055th5th0
2026-04-24KilbegganBHA1042nd2nd0
2026-04-16Limerick?4th4th0
2026-03-07Gowran ParkBHA1086th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/127/0326/0517/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength42%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/12/20259th14/126%27%+0.01
18/01/20263rd20/10%83%+0.83
22/02/20265th9/153%73%+0.21
07/03/20266th3/184%50%-0.34
16/04/20264th5/287%40%-0.47
24/04/20262nd9/276%92%+0.16
26/05/20265th7/282%71%-0.10
08/06/20266th6/168%62%-0.07
17/07/20263rd15/261%67%+0.06