7

Swing Time

7yo Gelding · 11-12

Roscommon · J.F. Hanley Groundscare Beginners Chase · 2m 142y

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Timeform

Commentary

Poor maiden hurdler who was pulled up in handicap at Fairyhouse when last seen 9 months ago. Best watched on chase debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 7.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Galway 08/10/2024 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 2m130y Goo 1668/10C8C8 @ Galway 26/10/2024 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 2m90y Yie 166C8 @ Sligo 07/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 2m4f168y Goo 1587/08C8BHA90 @ Killarney 23/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR 90 · 2m4f50y Goo 158 · below its mark23/08/2025 · OR 90 parBHA87 @ Galway 08/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR 87 · 2m6f97y Goo 157 · below its mark08/09/2025 · OR 87 par8/0987OR 87BHA86 @ Roscommon 29/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 86 · 2m4f53y Goo 159 · below its mark29/09/2025 · OR 86 parBHA84 @ Gowran Park 04/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 84 · 2m4f50y Yie 153 · below its mark04/10/2025 · OR 84 par4/1084OR 84BHA83 @ Galway 25/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 83 · 3m Yie 151 · below its mark25/10/2025 · OR 83 par25/1083OR 83projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-11-04FairyhouseBHA810
2025-10-25GalwayBHA838th8th0
2025-10-04Gowran ParkBHA845th5th0
2025-09-29RoscommonBHA868th8th0
2025-09-08GalwayBHA877th7th0
2025-08-23KillarneyBHA909th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/1023/084/1025/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength90%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/10/20247th40/10%25%+0.25
26/10/20249th200/10%38%+0.38
07/08/20256th50/10%17%+0.17
23/08/20259th66/10%43%+0.43
08/09/20257th40/10%65%+0.65
29/09/20258th25/10%50%+0.50
04/10/20255th7/163%69%+0.06
25/10/20258th14/126%53%+0.27