7
Another Challenge
6yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 85
Roscommon · Kepak Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 5f 141y
#13
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-21 | Limerick | BHA86 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Down Royal | BHA82 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-15 | Naas | BHA84 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Gowran Park | BHA86 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Navan | BHA86 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-01-21 | Down Royal | BHA86 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 19
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength76%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/2024 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 14% | -0.57 |
| 13/12/2024 | 14th | 125/1 | 0% | 28% | +0.28 |
| 28/12/2024 | 10th | 250/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 20/09/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 03/10/2025 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 15/12/2025 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 22% | -0.51 |
| 26/12/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 21/05/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |