11
Backinabit
7yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 78
Roscommon · Kepak Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 5f 141y
#10
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 9.1)
Highest class: BHA72
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Wexford | BHA78 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Wexford | BHA72 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Sligo | BHA75 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-07 | Cork | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Wexford | BHA80 | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-29 | Roscommon | BHA80 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 19
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength63%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/2023 | 4th | 200/1 | 0% | 81% | +0.81 |
| 25/11/2023 | 16th | 150/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 14/12/2023 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 25/01/2024 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 17/03/2024 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 54% | +0.12 |
| 29/09/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 07/12/2025 | 13th | 10/1 | 47% | 48% | +0.00 |
| 03/07/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 23/07/2026 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 36% | -0.45 |