9
Doyen Wolf
10yo Gelding · 11-1 · OR 82
Roscommon · Kepak Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 5f 141y
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 9.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Sligo | BHA81 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Fairyhouse | BHA83 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-07 | Cork | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Sligo | BHA85 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-01-12 | Punchestown | ? | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2022-12-11 | Cork | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 19
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength77%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11/2022 | 11th | 150/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 11/12/2022 | 9th | 150/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 12/01/2025 | 16th | 250/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 24/10/2025 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 60% | +0.05 |
| 07/12/2025 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.30 |
| 12/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 87% | +0.39 |