8

Dunany Point

7yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 85

Roscommon · Kepak Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 5f 141y

#7

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Twelve runs since last win in 2025. Just his second outing over fences when third of 13 in handicap at Wexford (15f, good to firm) 13 days ago. Significantly up in trip with cheekpieces back on. Enters calculations.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Downpatrick 14/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 2m7f150y Goo 16614/07C?BHA89 @ Wexford 08/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 89 · 2m4f100y Goo 157 · below its mark08/08/2025 · OR 89 parBHA88 @ Bellewstown 27/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 88 · 2m4f110y Gd 155 · below its mark27/08/2025 · OR 88 par27/0888OR 88BHA91 @ Listowel 24/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 91 · 2m2f Yie 160 · below its mark24/09/2025 · OR 91 parBHA93 @ Punchestown 14/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 20 · OR 93 · 2m4f Goo 161 · below its mark14/10/2025 · OR 93 par14/1093OR 93BHA93 @ Naas 08/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 93 · 2m77y Sft 162 · below its mark08/03/2026 · OR 93 parBHA92 @ Downpatrick 29/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 92 · 2m1f165y Yie 148 · below its mark29/03/2026 · OR 92 par29/0392OR 92BHA90 @ Sligo 12/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR 90 · 2m4f Goo 159 · below its mark12/05/2026 · OR 90 parBHA85 @ Wexford 22/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 85 · 1m7f110y Gd 153 · below its mark22/07/2026 · OR 85 par22/0785OR 85projClass-projected finish: 13th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22WexfordBHA853rd3rd0
2026-05-30ListowelBHA870
2026-05-12SligoBHA9010th10th0
2026-03-29DownpatrickBHA929th9th0
2026-03-08NaasBHA938th8th0
2025-10-14PunchestownBHA936th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0724/0929/0322/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 19
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength38%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 13th of 19.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/07/20258th14/126%13%-0.14
08/08/20256th14/126%62%+0.35
27/08/20252nd7/163%93%+0.30
24/09/20253rd13/266%86%+0.20
14/10/20256th9/153%74%+0.21
08/03/20268th14/126%22%-0.04
29/03/20269th16/116%11%-0.05
12/05/202610th11/271%40%-0.31
22/07/20263rd14/126%83%+0.57