10
Firstupbestdressed
6yo Gelding · 10-13 · OR 80
Roscommon · Kepak Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 5f 141y
#15
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 10.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Downpatrick | BHA82 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-08-25 | Downpatrick | BHA83 | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-10 | Downpatrick | BHA85 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-07-14 | Downpatrick | BHA86 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-06-10 | Sligo | BHA88 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-05-23 | Downpatrick | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish19th of 19
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength16%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 19th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/2025 | 19th | 150/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 09/05/2025 | 8th | 125/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 23/05/2025 | 5th | 150/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 10/06/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 14/07/2025 | 11th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 10/08/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 14/07/2026 | 14th | 14/1 | 26% | 7% | -0.19 |