2
Gaoithe Glory
6yo Gelding · 11-11 · OR 92
Roscommon · Kepak Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 5f 141y
#16
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Killarney | BHA93 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Limerick | BHA94 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Limerick | BHA94 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Limerick | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Killarney | BHA98 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-25 | Listowel | BHA98 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 19
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength70%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2025 | 15th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/08/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 23/08/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |
| 25/09/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 75% | +0.70 |
| 05/10/2025 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 27/12/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 16/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 77% | +0.51 |
| 28/05/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 76% | +0.08 |
| 16/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 69% | +0.17 |