4
Island Mccoo
9yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 89
Roscommon · Kepak Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 5f 141y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA88 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Kilbeggan | BHA91 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Kilbeggan | BHA86 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Limerick | BHA84 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Sligo | BHA84 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Thurles | BHA90 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 19
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength56%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 07/12/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 65% | +0.65 |
| 05/02/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 19/02/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 53% | +0.38 |
| 12/05/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 28/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |
| 15/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 10/07/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 77% | -0.05 |