5
Ladies Well
6yo Mare · 11-8 · OR 89
Roscommon · Kepak Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 5f 141y
#1
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
86%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Killarney | BHA81 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Kilbeggan | BHA81 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-24 | Kelso | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Down Royal | BHA83 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Thurles | BHA84 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-09-26 | Listowel | BHA84 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 19
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength56%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 19. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2025 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 10% | +0.05 |
| 22/07/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 08/08/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 25/08/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 26/09/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 16/10/2025 | 12th | 8/1 | 58% | 35% | -0.23 |
| 31/10/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 24/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 17/07/2026 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |