13
Tantrum Boy
6yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 78
Roscommon · Kepak Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 5f 141y
#12
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)
Highest class: BHA78
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Ballinrobe | BHA78 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Limerick | BHA80 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Cork | BHA81 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Cork | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Galway | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-06-07 | Punchestown | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 19
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength80%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/2025 | 13th | 80/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 25/10/2025 | 7th | 150/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 23/11/2025 | 11th | 200/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 10/05/2026 | 16th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 28/05/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 21/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 79% | +0.31 |