16
Deal Again
12yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 72
Roscommon · Campbell's Bar Ballinlough Handicap Chase (0-100) · 3m 1f 14y
#18
Rank
Odds
150/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#18
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 13.3 /10 (raw 12.9)
Highest class: BHA77
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-05 | Fairyhouse | BHA77 | 0 | ||
| 2024-10-02 | Sligo | BHA80 | 0 | ||
| 2024-09-04 | Kilbeggan | BHA80 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2022-09-30 | Gowran Park | BHA83 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2022-07-14 | Killarney | BHA86 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2022-05-24 | Punchestown | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish19th of 19
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength17%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 19th of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2021 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/12/2021 | 11th | 150/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 30/01/2022 | 18th | 300/1 | 0% | 19% | +0.19 |
| 24/05/2022 | 14th | 400/1 | 0% | 32% | +0.32 |
| 14/07/2022 | 14th | 66/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 30/09/2022 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 04/09/2024 | 13th | 200/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |