13
Kilashee
11yo Mare · 10-10 · OR 80
Roscommon · Campbell's Bar Ballinlough Handicap Chase (0-100) · 3m 1f 14y
#10
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C9.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Killarney | BHA84 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-08 | Roscommon | BHA87 | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-29 | Fairyhouse | BHA89 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Fairyhouse | BHA90 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Thurles | BHA99 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | Galway | BHA90 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 19
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength38%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 11/08/2025 | 15th | 10/1 | 47% | 7% | -0.41 |
| 25/08/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 05/09/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 29/09/2025 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 88% | +0.32 |
| 07/10/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 30/10/2025 | 12th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 21/11/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 29/11/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |