IvyArcIvyArc
17

Love Like This

8yo Mare · 10-6 · OR 76

Roscommon · Campbell's Bar Ballinlough Handicap Chase (0-100) · 3m 1f 14y

#4

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sole success came over hurdles at Kilbeggan in June. Not disgraced back chasing when third at Killarney (23f) in July but only tenth of 14 in handicap chase at former course (2½m, good) 11 days ago, going in snatches. Back up in trip. RESERVE

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA82 @ Down Royal 04/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 82 · 3m Gd 147 · below its mark04/05/2026 · OR 82 par4/0582OR 82BHA82 @ Sligo 12/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 82 · 2m4f Goo 151 · below its mark12/05/2026 · OR 82 parBHA80 @ Limerick 21/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 80 · 2m6f160y Gd 148 · below its mark21/05/2026 · OR 80 par21/0580OR 80BHA84 @ Limerick 28/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 84 · 2m6f Sft 152 · below its mark28/05/2026 · OR 84 parBHA83 @ Sligo 09/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 83 · 2m4f162y Yie 153 · below its mark09/06/2026 · OR 83 par9/0683OR 83BHA84 @ Kilbeggan 15/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 84 · 3m100y Gd 153 · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 84 parBHA89 @ Kilbeggan 10/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 89 · 3m180y Goo 157 · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 89 par10/0789OR 89BHA78 @ Killarney 17/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 78 · 2m7f Goo 146 · below its mark17/07/2026 · OR 78 parBHA78 @ Kilbeggan 24/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 78 · 2m4f85y Gd 148 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 78 par24/0778OR 78projClass-projected finish: 6th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24KilbegganBHA7810th10th0
2026-07-17KillarneyBHA783rd3rd0
2026-07-10KilbegganBHA894th4th0
2026-06-15KilbegganBHA841st1st0
2026-06-09SligoBHA833rd3rd0
2026-05-28LimerickBHA845th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0528/0510/0724/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 19
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength72%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/05/20264th80/10%40%+0.40
12/05/20262nd11/271%93%+0.22
21/05/202610th10/147%18%-0.29
28/05/20265th20/10%64%+0.64
09/06/20263rd10/147%86%+0.38
15/06/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
10/07/20264th12/137%79%+0.42
17/07/20263rd7/282%86%+0.04
24/07/202610th10/382%31%-0.52