4
One Way Traffic
9yo Gelding · 11-11 · OR 95
Roscommon · Campbell's Bar Ballinlough Handicap Chase (0-100) · 3m 1f 14y
#11
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-21 | Limerick | BHA92 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Cork | BHA95 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Ballinrobe | BHA95 | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-05 | Roscommon | BHA95 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-06-16 | Kilbeggan | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-02-13 | Thurles | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 19
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 19. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/2023 | 13th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 16/11/2023 | 11th | 250/1 | 0% | 52% | +0.52 |
| 26/12/2023 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 27/01/2024 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 62% | +0.46 |
| 13/02/2024 | 8th | 250/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 16/06/2025 | 8th | 250/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 05/08/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 23/11/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 21/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 90% | +0.37 |