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12

Oogum Boogum

8yo Gelding · 10-13 · OR 83

Roscommon · Campbell's Bar Ballinlough Handicap Chase (0-100) · 3m 1f 14y

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Gained a deserved breakthrough win in 3m handicap hurdle at Punchestown in May. Good third back over fences at Killarney (23f) in July but possibly found run coming too soon when eighth of 15 in handicap chase at Wexford (25f, good to firm) 13 days ago. Not discounted in a headgear change.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA86 @ Punchestown 11/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 86 · 2m7f207y Sft 155 · below its mark11/12/2025 · OR 86 par11/1286OR 86BHA85 @ Tramore 01/01/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR 85 · 2m5f120y Sft 155 · below its mark01/01/2026 · OR 85 parBHA84 @ Wexford 10/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 84 · 2m3f100y Goo 152 · below its mark10/04/2026 · OR 84 par10/0484OR 84BHA85 @ Punchestown 02/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 22 · OR 85 · 2m Yie 168 · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 85 parBHA84 @ Punchestown 13/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR 84 · 3m Goo 154 · beat its mark13/05/2026 · OR 84 par13/0584OR 84BHA90 @ Wexford 27/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 90 · 3m Goo 158 · below its mark27/05/2026 · OR 90 parBHA90 @ Clonmel 05/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 90 · 2m6f90y Goo 158 · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 90 par5/0690OR 90BHA84 @ Killarney 17/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 84 · 2m7f Goo 152 · below its mark17/07/2026 · OR 84 parBHA84 @ Wexford 22/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 84 · 3m155y Gd 152 · below its mark22/07/2026 · OR 84 par22/0784OR 84projClass-projected finish: 4th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22WexfordBHA848th8th0
2026-07-17KillarneyBHA843rd3rd0
2026-06-05ClonmelBHA902nd2nd0
2026-05-27WexfordBHA903rd3rd0
2026-05-13PunchestownBHA841st1st0
2026-05-02PunchestownBHA856th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/122/055/0622/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 19
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength96%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 19.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/12/20257th9/276%40%-0.36
01/01/202615th17/255%0%-0.55
10/04/20263rd16/116%87%+0.71
02/05/20266th50/10%76%+0.76
13/05/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
27/05/20263rd7/163%85%+0.21
05/06/20262nd9/276%93%+0.17
17/07/20263rd7/282%86%+0.04
22/07/20268th4/179%50%-0.29