6
Sampoet
9yo Gelding · 11-9 · OR 93
Roscommon · Campbell's Bar Ballinlough Handicap Chase (0-100) · 3m 1f 14y
#14
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Downpatrick | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Wexford | BHA93 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-13 | Downpatrick | BHA94 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Sligo | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Ballinrobe | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Down Royal | BHA94 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 19
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength66%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 19. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 17/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 06/04/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 12/04/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 04/05/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 26/05/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 09/06/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 73% | +0.07 |
| 14/07/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 45% | +0.19 |