10
Stormy Master
12yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 88
Roscommon · Campbell's Bar Ballinlough Handicap Chase (0-100) · 3m 1f 14y
#9
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | Roscommon | BHA90 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Limerick | BHA90 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-06 | Tipperary | BHA78 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-08-29 | Wexford | BHA91 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-07-23 | Wexford | BHA85 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-13 | Sligo | BHA80 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 19
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength51%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/2024 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 54% | +0.17 |
| 23/08/2024 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 30/08/2024 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 13/07/2025 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 23/07/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 29/08/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 06/10/2025 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 21/05/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 08/06/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |