18

True Harmony
6yo Gelding · 10-12 · OR 82
Roscommon · Campbell's Bar Ballinlough Handicap Chase (0-100) · 3m 1f 14y
#15
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Wexford | BHA83 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Downpatrick | BHA83 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Wexford | BHA80 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Punchestown | BHA81 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Downpatrick | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Wexford | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 19
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength58%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 14th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 26/02/2026 | 8th | 250/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 17/03/2026 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 15% | +0.10 |
| 29/03/2026 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 13/05/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 53% | +0.00 |
| 27/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 58% | -0.31 |
| 23/07/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 58% | -0.13 |