14
Written In My Soul
6yo Mare · 10-8 · OR 78
Roscommon · Campbell's Bar Ballinlough Handicap Chase (0-100) · 3m 1f 14y
#17
Rank
Odds
125/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#17
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Downpatrick | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Roscommon | BHA82 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-13 | Punchestown | BHA85 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-20 | Tramore | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-12 | Down Royal | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Down Royal | BHA87 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 19
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength15%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 18th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2024 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 19/01/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/12/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 18/01/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 17/03/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 12/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 14/07/2026 | 6th | 125/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |