1

Charles Kickham

4yo Gelding · 11-10

Roscommon · Brian Keenan On-Course Bookmaker Flat Race · 1m 7f 110y

#10

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Settled better fitted with a hood in Killarney bumper 3 weeks ago but still going to need plenty more to win a race like this.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Down Royal 04/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 2m1f88y Gd 1644/05C?C0 @ Killarney 16/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 2m1f Goo 16416/07C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Killarney?4th4th0
2026-05-04Down Royal?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0516/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 17
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength88%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/05/20268th16/116%36%+0.21
16/07/20264th18/15%57%+0.52