9

Mountain Sky

4yo Gelding · 11-10

Roscommon · Brian Keenan On-Course Bookmaker Flat Race · 1m 7f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

11%

Place Prob

18%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Much better for debut when second in tongue tie at Limerick 5 weeks ago. Could have a bumper in him on that showing.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Killarney 09/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 2m1f Goo 1649/05C?C0 @ Limerick 02/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 2m110y Gd 1642/07C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-02Limerick?2nd2nd0
2026-05-09Killarney?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/052/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 17
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/05/20265th11/142%67%+0.25
02/07/20262nd12/137%86%+0.49