14
Wee Fallon
4yo Gelding · 11-10
Roscommon · Brian Keenan On-Course Bookmaker Flat Race · 1m 7f 110y
#16
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-04 | Fairyhouse | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Cork | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength52%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 04/11/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 54% | +0.49 |