2
Master Of The Nite
5yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 91
Thistledown · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
57%
Place Prob
39%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-17 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-25 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-04 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 10
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength63%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 17/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 18/12/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 04/02/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |
| 25/02/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 17/03/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 11/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 01/06/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |