8
Quarantino
6yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 88
Thistledown · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-06-22 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-09 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-18 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength66%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 17/02/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 05/03/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 18/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 27/04/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 25/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 09/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 15/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |