10
Kissin Cash
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 79
Thistledown · Race 2 - Allowance · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-03-07 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-02-20 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2025-12-28 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 11th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength71%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 12/11/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 20/12/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 28/12/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/02/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 07/03/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 09/04/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 11/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 71% | -0.22 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |