5
Lamporghini
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 88
Thistledown · Race 2 - Allowance · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-06-06 | Emerald Downs | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-05-02 | Turf Paradise | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-04-21 | Turf Paradise | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-02-23 | Santa Anita | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength68%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 09/05/2025 | 6th | 6/4 | 92% | 0% | -0.92 |
| 25/01/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 23/02/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 22/03/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 21/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |